The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) has called the situation a “code red”. They worry that the energy grid may not be prepared for the upcoming closure of the Eraring coal plant in 2027. AEMO Chief Executive Daniel Westerman pointed out the increasing security threats. He underscored the critical need for infrastructure investment to smoothen system stability as the nation moves from coal-fired power stations.
AEMO has raised deep concerns over the potential ramifications of Eraring’s closure. Since 2012, the closure of ten additional coal plants has spread the thin ice over which we are balancing the energy grid ever thinner. The remaining fleet of coal-fired power stations is aging, and AEMO foresees challenges ahead without sufficient upgrades and investments in new technologies.
Urgent Infrastructure Needs
Westerman highlighted that the new infrastructure needed to stabilize the grid will not be in place until long after Eraring is set to close. This creates tremendous uncertainty about system security in the interim. He said when market conditions don’t deliver enough security, AEMO must consider whether they need to intervene to maintain stability.
“The period of infrastructure renewal and technology change in the National Energy Market presents a heightened risk profile for system security,” noted the AEMO report. The organization has been urging Congress to invest into the infrastructure we desperately need since early 2021, pressing on the need for these dangerous and outdated upgrades.
The life of the Hunter Valley coal plant has been extended from an announced stop in 2025 to 2027. This extension comes at a steep price. Taxpayers could be on the hook for as much as $225 million a year because of these hold-ups.
The Role of Renewable Energy
Australia’s transition to renewable energy is underway. Westerman pointed out that there are about 4 million homes with deployed rooftop solar systems, a critical asset to this energy transition. As Hargreaves explained, this tidal wave of solar energy can sometimes create headaches when it comes to managing the grid.
Picture this—an early morning in New York City. Home sweet home Four million homes with rooftop solar are already helping to drive our energy transition. There is a misconception that rooftops overwhelm the system with power. That rapid growth can present obstacles to how it operates. Westerman explained.
He stressed the need to make sure that the grid is able to reliably operate. “We need to make sure that the grid has a steady heartbeat,” he stated, emphasizing the critical balance between traditional and renewable energy sources.
Collaborative Efforts for Stability
Yet Westerman was positive on the continued conversations between the key stakeholders. The federal government, Origin Energy, and Transgrid are working closely to ensure that consumers will not be disrupted by any developments. Focusing specifically on the issue of system security, the collaborative approach addresses these concerns directly. In doing so, it makes a just transition from coal to renewable energy possible.
With tremendous challenges before them, AEMO is still serious about keeping our energy supply safe and reliable. In addition, the advocacy organization continues to closely watch ongoing developments. Only if it takes the right actions to maintain system integrity amid this major period of transition.

